Guess?, Inc. Reports Record Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2006 - Raises Fiscal Year 2008 Guidance
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Guess?, Inc. Reports Record Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2006 - Raises Fiscal Year 2008 Guidance

Fourth Quarter EPS Increased by 74%, to $0.99 Versus $0.57 Last Year

Full Year 2006 EPS Increased by 105%, to $2.68 Versus $1.31 Last Year

Company Raises EPS Guidance for Current Fiscal Year to $3.30 to $3.40

Fourth Quarter Highlights

  • Revenues grew 25% to $346.4 million


  • Operating margin improved 480 basis points to 20.5%


  • Net earnings grew 77% to $45.7 million

2006 Highlights

  • Revenues grew 27% to $1.19 billion


  • Operating margin improved 540 basis points to 16.3%


  • Net earnings grew 109% to $123.2 million

LOS ANGELES, Feb. 14 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Guess?, Inc. (NYSE: GES) today reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2006.

Fourth Quarter 2006 Results

For the fourth quarter of 2006, the Company reported record revenues and record net earnings of $45.7 million, an increase of 77.1% compared to net earnings of $25.8 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2005. Diluted earnings per share increased 73.7% to $0.99 per share in the current quarter versus $0.57 per share in the fourth quarter of last year.

Paul Marciano, Chief Executive Officer, commented, "The globalization of the Guess? brand is in full drive and delivering strong financial results. I am very pleased with our outstanding performance in the fourth quarter, which represented our 14th consecutive quarter of earnings growth. We drove double-digit top line growth in each of our businesses with Europe and licensing posting the largest increases. Our wholesale business showed outstanding growth this period and our retail stores generated double-digit same store sales increases. All businesses contributed significantly to the earnings growth across all regions of the world and generated strong operating margins in the period.

"Our 2006 results mark our second straight year where net income doubled from the year-ago level. This performance places 2006 as Guess?'s best year ever, with record revenues and record earnings. All our business segments operated with double-digit operating margins and provided tremendous balance to our well-diversified business model.

"We have a unique business format in our market. As we look ahead, we continue to see the globalization of our brand as our main focus in 2007 and beyond. In North America, we plan to continue our retail development of all our retail formats, including the launch of our newest concept, G by Guess. Internationally, we plan to execute on our strategies to develop the European and Asian markets, both of which present outstanding growth opportunities for Guess? in our denim line, our Guess by Marciano contemporary line, Marciano and accessories. We have strong management in each region of the world and we have a powerful brand supported by outstanding products to achieve our vision," concluded Mr. Marciano.

Total net revenue for the fourth quarter of 2006 increased 25.2% to $346.4 million from $276.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2005. The Company's retail stores in the U.S. and Canada generated revenue of $240.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2006, a 16.0% increase from $207.1 million in the prior-year period. Comparable store sales increased 10.8% in the fourth quarter of 2006. Net revenue from the Company's wholesale segment increased 27.4% to $42.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2006, from $33.0 million in the prior-year period. Net revenue from the Company's European segment increased 87.4% to $42.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2006, compared to $22.9 million in the prior-year period. Licensing segment net revenue increased 56.0% to $21.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2006, from $13.7 million in the prior-year period. The Company operated 336 retail stores in the U.S. and Canada at the end of the fourth quarter 2006 versus 315 stores a year earlier.

Operating earnings for the fourth quarter of 2006 increased 63.8% to $71.1 million from $43.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2005. Operating margin in the fourth quarter improved 480 basis points to 20.5%, compared to the prior year's quarter. This margin expansion was driven by a gross margin increase of 340 basis points to 46.0%, and an SG&A expense rate reduction of 140 basis points to 25.5% in the period.

Full Year 2006 Results

For the year ended December 31, 2006, the Company reported record revenues and record net earnings of $123.2 million, an increase of 109.4% compared to net earnings of $58.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2005. Diluted earnings per share increased 104.6% to $2.68 in 2006 versus $1.31 in 2005.

Total net revenue for 2006 increased 26.6% to $1.19 billion from $936.1 million in 2005. The Company's retail stores in the U.S. and Canada generated revenue of $721.3 million for 2006, an increase of 17.7% from $612.9 million in 2005. Comparable store sales increased 12.2% for the 2006 year. Net revenue from the Company's wholesale segment increased 20.8% in 2006 to $146.3 million from $121.1 million in 2005. Net revenue from the Company's European segment increased 64.1% to $252.4 million in 2006, compared to $153.8 million in 2005. Licensing segment net revenue increased 35.0% to $65.2 million in 2006, compared to $48.3 million in 2005.

Operating earnings for 2006 increased 89.6% to $193.0 million from $101.8 million in 2005. Operating margin for 2006 improved by 540 basis points to 16.3%. This margin expansion was driven by a gross margin increase of 310 basis points to 43.8% and a decrease in the SG&A expense rate of 230 basis points to 27.5%.

Fiscal Year End Change

As announced recently, the Company decided to change its fiscal year end from December 31 to the Saturday closest to January 31, effective with the current 2008 fiscal year that began on February 4, 2007 and will end on February 2, 2008. Recast historical financial information for the first three fiscal quarters of 2006 is included in today's press release as well as posted on the Company's website under the "Investor's Info" link. Results for the five-week January 2007 transition period will be reported when the Company releases its results for the first fiscal quarter ending May 5, 2007.

Outlook

For the recast fourth quarter ended February 3, 2007, the Company expects consolidated net revenues of approximately $385 million and diluted earnings per share between $0.95 and $0.97. These expectations include the January 2007 transition period, where same store sales growth of 12.7% and strong shipments in Europe are expected to generate a diluted earnings per share improvement of $0.12 to $0.14 versus the year-ago January. Given these expectations, for the twelve-month period ended February 3, 2007, the Company now anticipates consolidated net revenues of slightly above $1.2 billion, operating margin of 16.5% and diluted earnings per share in the range of $2.80 to $2.82. The Company noted that this twelve-month period encompasses 53 weeks, including a five-week January period.

For the fiscal year ending February 2, 2008, the Company's expectations are as follows:

  • Consolidated net revenues are expected to range from $1.45 billion to $1.5 billion.
  • Operating margin is expected to be about 17%.
  • Diluted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $3.30 to $3.40.

The fiscal year ending February 2, 2008, will include 52 weeks and a four-week January.

For the first quarter ending May 5, 2007, the Company's expectations are as follows:

  • Consolidated net revenues are expected to range from $325 million to $335 million.
  • Operating margin is expected to be in the low teens.
  • Diluted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $0.52 to $0.55.

The Company will hold a conference call at 4:30 pm (ET) on February 14, 2007 to discuss the news announced in this press release. A live webcast of the conference call will be accessible at www.guessinc.com via the "Investor's Info" link. The webcast will be archived on the website for 30 days.

Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes and licenses a lifestyle collection of contemporary apparel, accessories and related consumer products. At February 3, 2007 the Company operated 334 retail stores in the United States and Canada. The Company also distributes its products through better department and specialty stores around the world. For more information about the Company, please visit www.guessinc.com.

Except for historical information contained herein, certain matters discussed in this press release, including statements concerning the Company's future prospects and guidance for fiscal years 2007 and 2008, are forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are only expectations, and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results in future periods to differ materially from what is currently anticipated. Factors which may cause actual results in future periods to differ materially from current expectations include our ability to, among other things, anticipate consumer preferences, effectively operate our retail stores, effectively manage inventories, successfully execute our strategies, including our supply chain and international growth strategies, and domestic and international general economic conditions and consumer confidence. In addition to these factors, the economic and other factors identified in the Company's most recent annual report on Form 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including but not limited to the risk factors discussed therein, could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations.

Contacts:

Carlos Alberini
President & Chief Operating Officer
(213) 765-3582

Dennis R. Secor
SVP & Chief Financial Officer
(213) 765-3289

Joseph Teklits
Integrated Corporate Relations
(203) 682-8258



                          Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
                 Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations
                  (dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                                   Three Months Ended
                                             December 31,      December 31,
                                                 2006              2005
                                              $        %        $        %

    Net revenue:
      Product sales                        $325,097   93.8%  $262,980   95.1%
      Net royalties                          21,324    6.2%    13,669    4.9%
                                            346,421  100.0%   276,649  100.0%

    Cost of product sales                   186,958   54.0%   158,919   57.4%

    Gross profit                            159,463   46.0%   117,730   42.6%

    Selling, general and administrative
     expenses                                88,353   25.5%    74,307   26.9%

    Earnings from operations                 71,110   20.5%    43,423   15.7%

    Other (income) expense:
      Interest expense                        2,681    0.8%     1,870    0.7%
      Interest income                        (1,640)  (0.5%)   (1,124)  (0.4%)
      Other, net                             (1,890)  (0.5%)     ---     ---

    Earnings before income taxes and
     minority interest                       71,959   20.7%    42,677   15.4%

    Income taxes                             26,144    7.5%    16,875    6.1%
    Minority interest                           132    0.0%       ---    ---

    Net earnings                            $45,683   13.2%   $25,802    9.3%


    Earnings per share:

      Basic                                   $1.00             $0.58

      Diluted                                 $0.99             $0.57

    Weighted number of shares outstanding:

      Basic                                  45,630            44,698

      Diluted                                46,334            45,589



                                                      Year Ended
                                            December 31,       December 31,
                                                2006               2005
                                             $         %        $        %

    Net revenue:
      Product sales                      $1,119,945   94.5%  $887,782   94.8%
      Net royalties                          65,239    5.5%    48,310    5.2%
                                          1,185,184  100.0%   936,092  100.0%

    Cost of product sales                   665,805   56.2%   555,223   59.3%

    Gross profit                            519,379   43.8%   380,869   40.7%

    Selling, general and administrative
     expenses                               326,356   27.5%   279,059   29.8%

    Earnings from operations                193,023   16.3%   101,810   10.9%

    Other (income) expense:
      Interest expense                        7,450    0.6%     6,741    0.8%
      Interest income                        (5,947)  (0.4%)   (2,626)  (0.3%)
      Other, net                             (4,477)  (0.4%)    ---      ---

    Earnings before income taxes and
     minority interest                      195,997   16.5%    97,695   10.4%

    Income taxes                             72,715    6.1%    38,882    4.2%
    Minority interest                           114    0.0%     ---      ---

    Net earnings                           $123,168   10.4%   $58,813    6.3%


    Earnings per share:

      Basic                                   $2.72             $1.33

      Diluted                                 $2.68             $1.31

    Weighted number of shares
     outstanding:

      Basic                                  45,309            44,387

      Diluted                                46,037            45,059



                      Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
                        Consolidated Segment Data
                              (in thousands)

                                                  Three Months Ended
                                          December 31,  December 31,    %
                                              2006         2005        chg

    Net revenue:
      Retail operations                     $240,237     $207,127       16%
      Wholesale operations                    42,030       33,002       27%
      European operations                     42,830       22,851       87%
      Licensing operations                    21,324       13,669       56%
                                            $346,421     $276,649       25%


    Earnings (loss) from operations:
      Retail operations                      $51,324      $36,449       41%
      Wholesale operations                     9,504        3,143      202%
      European operations                      4,977          192     2492%
      Licensing operations                    19,748       12,892       53%
      Corporate overhead                     (14,443)      (9,253)      56%
                                             $71,110      $43,423       64%


    Operating margins:
      Retail operations                        21.4%        17.6%
      Wholesale operations                     22.6%         9.5%
      European operations                      11.6%         0.8%
      Licensing operations                     92.6%        94.3%
      Total Company                            20.5%        15.7%



                                                       Year Ended
                                           December 31,  December 31,     %
                                               2006          2005        chg

    Net revenue:
      Retail operations                       $721,262     $612,862      18%
      Wholesale operations                     146,320      121,103      21%
      European operations                      252,363      153,817      64%
      Licensing operations                      65,239       48,310      35%
                                            $1,185,184     $936,092      27%



    Earnings (loss) from operations:
      Retail operations                       $100,436      $65,274      54%
      Wholesale operations                      23,963        7,325     227%
      European operations                       64,211       28,103     128%
      Licensing operations                      57,189       37,804      51%
      Corporate overhead                       (52,776)     (36,696)     44%
                                              $193,023     $101,810      90%


    Operating margins:
      Retail operations                          13.9%        10.7%
      Wholesale operations                       16.4%         6.0%
      European operations                        25.4%        18.3%
      Licensing operations                       87.7%        78.3%
      Total Company                              16.3%        10.9%



                          Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
                Selected Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet Data
                                  (in thousands)

                                                December 31,      December 31,
                                                   2006               2005

                                      ASSETS

    Cash and cash equivalents                     $220,333           $171,549

    Receivables, net                               133,406             81,762

    Inventories, net                               166,122            122,037

    Other current assets                            42,557             32,670

    Property and equipment, net                    164,260            144,007

    Other assets                                   110,406             81,349

     Total Assets                                 $837,084           $633,374


    LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

    Current installments of notes payable,
     long-term debt and capital lease              $34,357            $35,051

    Other current liabilities                      249,273            182,175

    Notes payable, long-term debt and capital
     lease, excluding current installments          18,018             53,199

    Other long-term liabilities                     99,199             74,656

    Minority interest                                5,178            ---

    Stockholders' equity                           431,059            288,293

     Total Liabilities and Stockholders'
      Equity                                      $837,084           $633,374



                          Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
                      Condensed Consolidated Cash Flow Data
                                 (in thousands)

                                                          Year Ended
                                                 December 31,     December 31,
                                                    2006              2005

    Net cash provided by operating activities     $138,253          $149,316

    Net cash used in investing activities          (71,547)          (70,314)

    Net cash used in financing activities          (19,190)          (13,324)

    Effect of exchange rates on cash                 1,268              (132)

    Net increase in cash and cash equivalents       48,784            65,546

    Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning
     of the year                                   171,549           106,003

    Cash and cash equivalents at the end
     of the period                                $220,333          $171,549



    Supplemental information:

    Depreciation and amortization                  $38,054           $34,639

    Rent                                            84,598            73,126



                          Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
                                Retail Store Data
                                 U.S. and Canada

                                                          Year Ended
                                                  December 31,    December 31,
                                                      2006              2005

    Number of stores at the beginning of the year      315               287

      Store openings                                    32                37

      Store closures                                   (11)               (9)

    Number of stores at the end of the period          336               315


    Total store square footage at the end
     of the period                               1,621,000         1,563,000



                          Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
              Recast Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations
                  (dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                        Three Months Ended  Three Months Ended
                                              April 29,          July 29,
                                                 2006              2006
                                              $        %        $        %

    Net revenue
      Product sales                        $251,337   94.6%  $247,685   94.6%
      Net royalties                          14,346    5.4%    14,264    5.4%
                                            265,683  100.0%   261,949  100.0%

    Cost of product sales                   155,073   58.4%   151,618   57.9%

    Gross profit                            110,610   41.6%   110,331   42.1%

    Selling, general and administrative
     expenses                                76,333   28.7%    76,683   29.3%

    Earnings from operations                 34,277   12.9%    33,648   12.8%

    Other (income) expense:
      Interest expense                        1,465    0.6%     1,794    0.7%
      Interest income                        (1,227)  (0.5%)   (1,494)  (0.6%)
      Other, net                               (297)  (0.1%)     (827)  (0.3%)

    Earnings before income taxes and
     minority interest                       34,336   12.9%    34,175   13.0%

    Income taxes                             13,665    5.1%    13,652    5.1%
    Minority interest                         ---      ---       (123)  (0.0%)

    Net earnings                            $20,671    7.8%   $20,646    7.9%


    Net earnings per share:

      Basic                                   $0.46             $0.46

      Diluted                                 $0.45             $0.45

    Weighted number of shares outstanding:

      Basic                                  45,073            45,297

      Diluted                                45,811            45,968



                                         Three Months Ended  Nine Months Ended
                                             October 28,       October 28,
                                                 2006              2006
                                              $        %        $        %

    Net revenue
      Product sales                        $311,914   94.9%  $810,936   94.7%
      Net royalties                          16,902    5.1%    45,512    5.3%
                                            328,816  100.0%   856,448  100.0%

    Cost of product sales                   174,285   53.0%   480,976   56.2%

    Gross profit                            154,531   47.0%   375,472   43.8%

    Selling, general and administrative
     expenses                                88,366   26.9%   241,382   28.1%

    Earnings from operations                 66,165   20.1%   134,090   15.7%

    Other (income) expense:
      Interest expense                        1,517    0.5%     4,776    0.6%
      Interest income                        (1,770)  (0.6%)   (4,491)  (0.5%)
      Other, net                             (1,646)  (0.5%)   (2,770)  (0.3%)

    Earnings before income taxes and
     minority interest                       68,064   20.7%   136,575   15.9%

    Income taxes                             23,963    7.3%    51,280    5.9%
    Minority interest                           111    0.0%       (12)  (0.0%)

    Net earnings                            $43,990   13.4%   $85,307   10.0%


    Net earnings per share:

      Basic                                   $0.97             $1.89

      Diluted                                 $0.95             $1.86

    Weighted number of shares outstanding:

      Basic                                  45,423            45,243

      Diluted                                46,125            45,950



                          Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
                         Recast Consolidated Segment Data
                                  (in thousands)

                                        Three     Three     Three     Nine
                                        Months    Months    Months    Months
                                        Ended     Ended     Ended     Ended
                                       Apr 29,   Jul 29,   Oct 28,   Oct 28,
                                         2006      2006      2006      2006
    Net revenue:
       Retail operations               $150,861  $166,095  $178,834  $495,790
       Wholesale operations              33,360    32,824    43,939   110,123
       European operations               67,116    48,766    89,141   205,023
       Licensing operations              14,346    14,264    16,902    45,512
                                       $265,683  $261,949   328,816  $856,448



    Earnings (loss) from operations:
       Retail operations                $13,689   $20,939   $26,787   $61,415
       Wholesale operations               3,072     5,394     9,040    17,506
       European operations               16,944     8,219    31,103    56,266
       Licensing operations              11,888    13,232    13,115    38,235
       Corporate overhead               (11,316)  (14,136)  (13,880)  (39,332)
                                        $34,277   $33,648   $66,165  $134,090


    Operating margins:
       Retail operations                   9.1%     12.6%     15.0%     12.4%
       Wholesale operations                9.2%     16.4%     20.6%     15.9%
       European operations                25.2%     16.9%     34.9%     27.4%
       Licensing operations               82.9%     92.8%     77.6%     84.0%
                                          12.9%     12.8%     20.1%     15.7%



                          Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
            Recast Selected Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet Data
                                  (in thousands)

                                           April 29,    July 29,  October 28,
                                              2006        2006        2006

                                ASSETS

    Cash and cash equivalents                $155,533    $196,027    $163,806

    Restricted cash                               ---         ---      16,361

    Receivables, net                          125,976     109,068     173,750

    Inventories, net                          108,241     132,453     144,514

    Other current assets                       34,166      36,911      39,097

    Property and equipment, net               150,730     157,755     160,677

    Other assets                               97,026     104,630     109,337

     Total Assets                            $671,672    $736,844    $807,542


       LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

    Current installments of notes payable,
     long-term debt and capital lease         $44,768     $26,262     $52,585

    Other current liabilities                 164,536     226,805     229,159

    Notes payable, long-term debt and
     capital lease, excluding current
     installments                              52,152      46,946      41,122

    Other long-term liabilities                88,420      88,606      87,930

    Minority interest                             ---         367         478

    Stockholders' equity                      321,796     347,858     396,268

     Total Liabilities and Stockholders'
      Equity                                 $671,672    $736,844    $807,542



                         Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
                  Recast Condensed Consolidated Cash Flow Data
                                 (in thousands)

                                              Three      Six        Nine
                                              Months     Months     Months
                                              Ended      Ended      Ended
                                             April 29,  July 29,  October 28,
                                               2006       2006       2006


    Net cash (used in) provided by
     operating activities                    $(17,726)   $63,102    $39,514

    Net cash used in investing activities     (13,039)   (32,813)   (47,785)

    Net cash provided (used in) financing
     activities                                18,559     (2,087)     4,243

    Effect of exchange rates on cash              545        631        640

    Net (decrease) increase in cash and
     cash equivalents                         (11,661)    28,833     (3,388)

    Cash and cash equivalents at the
     beginning of the year                    167,194    167,194    167,194

    Cash and cash equivalents at the end of
     the period                              $155,533   $196,027   $163,806



    Supplemental information:

    Depreciation and amortization              $8,372    $17,888    $27,991

    Rent                                       20,160     41,195     63,003



                          Guess?, Inc. and Subsidiaries
               Recast Retail Store Data and Comparable Store Sales
                                 U.S. and Canada

                                  Three      Six        Nine
                                  Months     Months     Months
                                  Ended      Ended      Ended
                                 April 29,  July 29,  October 28,
                                   2006       2006       2006


    Number of stores at the
     beginning of the year          311        311        311

     Store openings                   9         17         27

     Store closures                  (4)        (6)        (6)

    Number of stores at the
     end of the period              316        322        332


    Total store square
     footage at the end of
     the period               1,553,000  1,574,000  1,607,000



                      Three      Three      Three       Three       Twelve
                      Months     Months     Months      Months      Months
                      Ended      Ended      Ended       Ended       Ended
                     April 29,  July 29,  October 28, February 3,  February 3,
                       2006       2006       2006        2007        2007

    Comparable store
    sales percentage
    increase           12.6%     13.7%       8.9%        11.0%       11.4%

SOURCE Guess?, Inc.
02/14/2007

CONTACT: Carlos Alberini, President & Chief Operating Officer,
+1-213-765-3582, or Dennis R. Secor, SVP & Chief Financial Officer,
+1-213-765-3289, both of Guess?, Inc.; or Joseph Teklits of Integrated
Corporate Relations, +1-203-682-8258, for Guess?, Inc.
Web site: http://www.guessinc.com
(GES)